9/5/2023 0 Comments Jose hurricane trackEast Coast without making landfall or causing significant interruptions. coastline – most likely near the Carolinas – could inadvertently welcome Maria ashore.Īs of early Tuesday, Hurricane Jose was a Category 1 storm with sustained winds reaching 75 mph (121 km/h), and was expected to remain off the U.S. If the ridge deepens or if Jose dissipates, the U.S. If the ridge breaks down first, Maria could get carried away out to sea without Jose. So if it stays wedged in the larger, dominating ridge of high pressure until Maria moves sufficiently close, Jose may pull Maria away from the coast just as a low-pressure system moving off the coast would normally do.īut all of this depends on the timing, which is largely uncertain, given that it is still one week away. ( reut.rs/2jFFnfD)Īs a tropical cyclone, Jose has a distinct center of low pressure. The strong ridge of high pressure to Maria’s north would favor a more westward track, but Jose is a weak point within this ridge and could offer Maria an exit path away from the U.S. coastline, which is a possibility for early or mid-next week. If Hurricane Jose can hang on another week or so, even if it gets downgraded to a weak post-tropical storm, it could literally prevent Maria from slamming the U.S. East Coast need to root for Hurricane Jose to stay alive in order to protect them from Maria. Under this scenario, residents along the U.S. If it does, Maria could be pulled away from the coast before it can do too much damage or any at all.īut if the ridge lingers, Maria could meander over toward the Carolinas and potentially move onshore by the middle of next week. In the case of Maria, a massive ridge of high pressure will be parked over eastern North America and the North Atlantic for roughly the next 10 days, but there is a chance the ridge breaks down earlier than expected. A storm or hurricane cannot penetrate a high-pressure system. If a strong low-pressure trough is moving off the East Coast of North America at the same time a hurricane is advancing up the coast, the storm will likely be carried off to the north and east at a quick clip, away from the continental United States and out into the open ocean.īut if a strong high-pressure ridge dominates along the East Coast or out over the North Atlantic Ocean, the motion within the ridge forces the hurricane westward along the path of least resistance. This is why the northeast-curving hurricane track is climatologically favored after the Sept. Upper atmospheric ridges and troughs tend to become stronger into September and beyond as the north-south temperature difference over continental North America widens as summer ends and autumn sets in. In the mid-latitudes, eastward-moving troughs of low pressure and ridges of high pressure in the upper atmosphere can strongly influence the motion of Atlantic hurricanes, especially once they reach latitudes parallel with the eastern U.S. But as they drift further north, they eventually get caught up in the mid-latitude westerly winds, which turn the storm track to the north and then northeast or even east. ![]() ( reut.rs/2jGyieX)Įarly on in the life cycle, most Atlantic hurricanes move to the west or northwest among the tropical trade winds. Whether Maria stays out over the Atlantic or curves back toward the coastal United States most directly depends on the upper-air pattern over the continent and the fate of Hurricane Jose, which still lingers well off the East Coast. landfall sometime next week cannot be ruled out. ![]() As of Tuesday morning, Maria retained its Category 5 status, which requires sustained winds in excess of 156 miles per hour (251 km per hour).Īfter scraping by the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas this weekend, the forecast for Maria is less certain, but a U.S. ![]() Maria rapidly intensified in just 24 hours from a Category 1 to a Category 5 hurricane by Monday evening. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Tuesday after ripping through the small island nation of Dominica, causing widespread devastation. Maria is the latest Atlantic hurricane in a very active 2017 season and is already an extremely dangerous storm. FILE PHOTO: Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose (R) and Hurricane Katia (L) are pictured in the Atlantic Ocean in this SeptemNOAA satellite handout photo.
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